"A risk assessment of the Piql Services" by FFI

Failure/malfunction:



Harmful emission o Chemical o Biological o Radioactive Conventional accidents o Explosions/fire o



Structural collapse Transport accident

o



Failure of service or utility supply o Failure of vital infrastructure o

Failure of vital societal functions

All of the events identified to have an impact on the security of a nation are also relevant risks to the Piql Preservation Services. Hence, they will form part of the sample space when the final selection of scenario classes is chosen and the specific scenarios descriptions are written out.

6.3.2

Applied to Issues of Security

Morphological analysis works well with events caused by intentional acts, deliberation and calculation. We have here created our own morphological box adapted to the problem in the report. The process is separated into two phases: the analysis phase and the synthesis phase. We must begin with the first step of the analysis phase, which is to concisely define the problem. In this report a relevant question/problem would be: What are all intentional threats and challenges that the Piql Preservation Services may face today and for 500 years to come? The next step is to define the parameters which best characterise the problem we have defined in the preceding step. As we focus on intentional acts, the threats would have to be directed at the Piql Preservation Services itself, apart from nuclear war and terrorism as explained previously. A logical place to start is therefore to characterise the threat actors with an interest in attacking the Piql Preservation Services, their intentions and capacities.

Hence, the following parameters were defined: - Actor - Goal - Method - Means

The next step is to assign a range of relevant values, or conditions, that each parameter might have. Here it is very important to define the values very clearly. The values should be mutually exclusive and exhaustive for the given parameter in accordance with the problem. We have made broad assumptions and cast wide nets when it comes to our parameters and definitions.

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FFI-RAPPORT 16/00707